Issue |
OCL
Volume 15, Number 6, Novembre-Décembre 2008
|
|
---|---|---|
Page(s) | 364 - 377 | |
Section | Économie – Développement | |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/ocl.2009.0234 | |
Published online | 15 November 2008 |
Expliquer les évolutions des cours des matières premières agricoles : À l’impossible, nul n’est tenu !
INRA, UAR 233 Collège de direction (CODIR), 147 rue de l’université, 75338
Paris Cedex 07, France
Abstract
How to explain the recent developments in the prices of agricultural raw materials? This article tries to trace the chronology of events and identify the mechanisms by which factors of change in agricultural prices act. From this analysis of temporal and causal effects an important lesson emerges, namely the difficulty if not the impossibility to isolate the responsibility of a particular determinant, even more to quantify it. Hence also the need to develop the economic analysis of agricultural prices, of their trends and determinants, including through the use of quantitative structural models, i.e., models that explicitly derived suplly and demand functions from behaviours of private and public actors.
Key words: agricultural prices / biofuels / food trade / stocks / economic analysis
© John Libbey Eurotext 2008
Current usage metrics show cumulative count of Article Views (full-text article views including HTML views, PDF and ePub downloads, according to the available data) and Abstracts Views on Vision4Press platform.
Data correspond to usage on the plateform after 2015. The current usage metrics is available 48-96 hours after online publication and is updated daily on week days.
Initial download of the metrics may take a while.