Open Access

Table 4

An illustration of provincial growth in soybean production in South Africa as a proportion of national output, 1987 to 2012.

National Provincial

FS NW GP MP WC EC KZN NC L

Area planted (ha)
Average growth rate
25 yrave 145 635.59 0.15*** 0.06 0.06 0.49* 0.00 0.00 0.17** 0.02 0.05
15 yrave 201 392.67 0.19** 0.05 0.03 0.53* 0.00 0.00 0.14*** 0.00 0.05
10 yrave 241 330.00 0.24** 0.05 0.03 0.51* 0.00 0.00 0.11* 0.00 0.05
5 yrave 320 920.00 0.30** 0.04 0.03 0.47* 0.00 0.09* 0.00 0.05
Compounded annual growth rate (CAGR)
CAGR 25 0.11 0.04*** 0.04*** 0.04*** 0.01 1.00 0.00 0.05** 0.12* 0.00
CAGR 15 0.10 0.17* 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.08*** 0.11** 0.03
CAGR 10 0.19 0.10* 0.09* 0.00 0.04 1.00 0.04 0.07** 0.00 0.01
CAGR 5 0.30 0.06 0.05 0.18** 0.04 0.09*** 0.09*** 0.23* 0.01

Output (tons)
Average growth rate
25 yrave 233 398.20 0.12*** 0.07 0.05 0.43* 0.00 0.00 0.21** 0.02 0.08
15 yrave 333 277.00 0.16*** 0.07 0.03 0.46* 0.00 0.00 0.19** 0.00 0.08
10 yrave 398 202.00 0.20** 0.07 0.03 0.46* 0.00 0.00 0.15*** 0.00 0.09
5 yrave 544 800.00 0.25** 0.05 0.03 0.44* 0.00 0.14* 0.00 0.08
Compounded annual growth rate (CAGR)
CAGR 25 0.09 0.04 0.04** 0.03*** 0.01 1.00 0.00 0.03*** 0.11* 0.02
CAGR 15 0.08 0.14* 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.06*** 0.13** 0.03
CAGR 10 0.19 0.10* 0.03** 0.00 0.03** 1.00 0.01*** 0.03** 0.00 0.03**
CAGR 5 0.23 0.07** 0.02 0.22* 0.03 0.00 0.10 0.05*** 0.22* 0.01

Yield (t/ha)
Average growth rate
25 yrave 1.56 0.88 1.3 0.94 0.91 0.4 0.5 1.29*** 1.56* 1.47**
15 yrave 1.66 0.83 1.43*** 0.95 0.88 0.42 0.91 1.39 1.50** 1.65*
10 yrave 1.65 0.82 1.5*** 0.95 0.90 0.5 1.2 1.45 1.65* 1.58**
5 yrave 1.75 0.82 1.4 0.95 0.93 1.0 1.49*** 1.81* 1.54**
Compounded annual growth rate (CAGR)
CAGR 25 0.00 0.00*** 0.01** 0.01** 0.01** 1.00 0.00 0.02* 0.01** 0.02*
CAGR 15 0.00 0.03* 0.02** 0.02** 0.01*** 0.00 0.00 0.02** 0.02** 0.00
CAGR 10 0.99 0.01 0.05* 0.00 0.01 1.00 0.05* 0.04** 0.00 0.02***
CAGR 5 0.04 0.00 0.07* 0.04** 0.01 0.00 0.02*** 0.04** 0.01 0.01

Note that FS = Free State, NW = North West, GP = Gauteng, MP = Mpumalanga, WC = Western Cape, EC = Eastern Cape, KZN = KwaZulu Natal, NC = Northern Cape, L = Limpopo provinces, respectively.

*

Highest;

**

moderate;

***

low (used absolute values, sign used to denote direction of growth). Source: Author’s own calculations using data from the DAFF (2013).

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