Soybeans production in South Africa

Thula Sizwe Dlamini; Precious Tshabalala; Tafadzwa Mutengwa

doi:10.1051/ocl/2013047

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Volume 21 / No 2 (March-April 2014)

OCL, 21 2 (2014) D207

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Table 4

An illustration of provincial growth in soybean production in South Africa as a proportion of national output, 1987 to 2012.

National	Provincial
National

		FS	NW	GP	MP	WC	EC	KZN	NC	L

Area planted (ha)
Average growth rate
25 yrave	145 635.59	0.15^***	0.06	0.06	0.49^*	0.00	0.00	0.17^**	0.02	0.05
15 yrave	201 392.67	0.19^**	0.05	0.03	0.53^*	0.00	0.00	0.14^***	0.00	0.05
10 yrave	241 330.00	0.24^**	0.05	0.03	0.51^*	0.00	0.00	0.11^*	0.00	0.05
5 yrave	320 920.00	0.30^**	0.04	0.03	0.47^*	−	0.00	0.09^*	0.00	0.05
Compounded annual growth rate (CAGR)
CAGR 25	0.11	0.04^***	−0.04^***	−0.04^***	0.01	−1.00	0.00	−0.05^**	−0.12^*	0.00
CAGR 15	0.10	0.17^*	−0.02	0.00	−0.02	−	0.00	−0.08^***	−0.11^**	0.03
CAGR 10	0.19	0.10^*	0.09^*	0.00	−0.04	−1.00	0.04	−0.07^**	0.00	−0.01
CAGR 5	0.30	0.06	0.05	0.18^**	−0.04	−	−0.09^***	−0.09^***	−0.23^*	0.01

Output (tons)
Average growth rate
25 yrave	233 398.20	0.12^***	0.07	0.05	0.43^*	0.00	0.00	0.21^**	0.02	0.08
15 yrave	333 277.00	0.16^***	0.07	0.03	0.46^*	0.00	0.00	0.19^**	0.00	0.08
10 yrave	398 202.00	0.20^**	0.07	0.03	0.46^*	0.00	0.00	0.15^***	0.00	0.09
5 yrave	544 800.00	0.25^**	0.05	0.03	0.44^*	−	0.00	0.14^*	0.00	0.08
Compounded annual growth rate (CAGR)
CAGR 25	0.09	0.04	−0.04^**	−0.03^***	0.01	−1.00	0.00	−0.03^***	−0.11^*	0.02
CAGR 15	0.08	0.14^*	−0.04	0.02	−0.01	0.00	0.00	−0.06^***	−0.13^**	0.03
CAGR 10	0.19	0.10^*	0.03^**	0.00	−0.03^**	−1.00	−0.01^***	−0.03^**	0.00	−0.03^**
CAGR 5	0.23	0.07^**	−0.02	0.22^*	−0.03	0.00	−0.10	−0.05^***	−0.22^*	−0.01

Yield (t/ha)
Average growth rate
25 yrave	1.56	0.88	1.3	0.94	0.91	0.4	0.5	1.29^***	1.56^*	1.47^**
15 yrave	1.66	0.83	1.43^***	0.95	0.88	0.42	0.91	1.39	1.50^**	1.65*
10 yrave	1.65	0.82	1.5^***	0.95	0.90	0.5	1.2	1.45	1.65^*	1.58^**
5 yrave	1.75	0.82	1.4	0.95	0.93	−	1.0	1.49^***	1.81^*	1.54^**
Compounded annual growth rate (CAGR)
CAGR 25	−0.00	0.00^***	0.01^**	0.01^**	−0.01^**	−1.00	0.00	0.02^*	0.01^**	0.02*
CAGR 15	−0.00	−0.03^*	−0.02^**	0.02^**	0.01^***	0.00	0.00	0.02^**	−0.02^**	0.00
										–
CAGR 10	0.99	−0.01	−0.05^*	0.00	0.01	−1.00	−0.05^*	0.04^**	0.00	0.02^***
CAGR 5	0.04	0.00	−0.07^*	0.04^**	0.01	0.00	−0.02^***	0.04^**	0.01	−0.01

Note that FS = Free State, NW = North West, GP = Gauteng, MP = Mpumalanga, WC = Western Cape, EC = Eastern Cape, KZN = KwaZulu Natal, NC = Northern Cape, L = Limpopo provinces, respectively.

^*

Highest;

^**

moderate;

^***

low (used absolute values, sign used to denote direction of growth). Source: Author’s own calculations using data from the DAFF (2013).

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