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Table 3

Probability score of output province by province in South Africa (T = 25).

P (y > x) North West Gauteng Limpopo EC KZN MP WC NC FS

NW 0.72* 0.44 1.00* 0 0 1.00* 0.84* 0.32
GP 0.28 0.36 1.00* 0 0 1.00* 0.92* 0.20
L 0.66** 0.04 0.04 0.04 0 0 0 0.04
EC 0 0 0 0 0 0.24 0.08 0
KZN 1.00* 1.00* 1.00* 1.00* 0 1.00* 1.00* 0.76*
MP 1.00* 1.00* 1.00* 1.00* 1.00* 1.00* 1.00* 1.00*
WC 0 0 0 0.48*** 0 0 0.12 0
NC 0.16 0.08 0.12 0.92* 0 0 0.88* 0.12
FS 0.68** 0.80* 0.72* 1.00* 0.24 0 1.00* 0.84*
*

Extremely likely (above 69.5%),

**

reasonably likely (54.5–69.4%),

***

on the edge (48–54.4%). Source: Authors own calculations using data from National Department of Agriculture.

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